Yen

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The Yen and the USD/JPY pair have made what looks to be the end of the first wave, the wave A. I’m open to one additional move higher in the Yen first, but for the most part the next move of significance should be the wave b. I’m just looking at the Yen futures charts here, so just as a reminder, the Yen moves in an inverse fashion to that of the USD/JPY charts. For now price has fallen just …

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Dow – Two key Counts For Fed Day

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The main count is still alive with the potential to finish off the wave 5 (white) hanging in there. With the Fed likely to add some real volatility tonight, it’s time to really tighten up positions with support levels the key to any further advance. As you can see on the daily chart, the main count with the roman numeral 1 to 5 is sitting alongside the other potential of the red or white wave 4′s lower. For now, yesterdays …

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GBP/USD – Pound at Another Price Juncture

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The Pound has played a pretty good game in relation to the updates with this run making it into the 1.56-1.57+ target range. But it looks like the pound needs a respite at least with a move down that could turn into something more if a couple of levels are breached this time around. The move up from the 1.50 level has carved out a 5 wave structure, or very nearly completed one and is becoming overbought enough to experience …

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Australian Index SPI

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The Aussie market has been comparatively weak the last 3 weeks and has tested right down into crucial support areas. I have adjusted what I erroneously had as crucial support previously, 4670, and moved it down to the top of the wave 1 at 4608 where it should be. It doesn’t change the picture though as support looks to have held for now. Whether it holds going forward is the important point for the higher up targets to yet be …

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Dow – Prepping for Fed Wednesday

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The Dow and other main indexes all look to be setting up for some big moves around Wednesday’s Fed announcement. There are a few potential’s on the table on how price can be resolved. But until price breaks out of the range in either direction, there isn’t a lot of changes for the moment. Hopefully the action before the Fed will resolve a few. One of the main potentials I have is that we whipsaw up out of the range …

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Sugar – Bottom in?

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Sugar has been working with this tightening downward range for months now, and Friday looks to have given the first real breakout signal. The market has stayed in the tight range all the way since the April post. If it’s the end of the diagonal as per the monthly chart then we should see price very quickly up into the 24.00 price area, or possibly the 31.85. For now the risk is the low, and an alternate would have price …

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Dollar – Near an Intermediate Turning Point

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The Dollar has been sticking to the script almost to the penny on this wave 1 move down. At some point it will likely become a bit more difficult and as we’re coming into a wave iv of wave 1 it looks like the place for some more difficult to track price action to occur. The wave iii projection of 80.58 given in previous updates turned out to be very accurate as price managed a touch of 80.50 a mere …

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Dow Update

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Just a quick look as we’re in no real change from yesterday’s update. We’re still hanging in there with the wave 5 up with a strong move today that held the previous lows that the focus is on. It isn’t definitive yet, though, with the two horizontal lines marking out some important price points to be broken to aid confidence in either count. As before, am sticking with the long side, but will quickly change should the low be broken, …

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Nikkei Update

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The Nikkei has come right down into the support zone and as the updates in twitter have suggested, it’s a buy spot with good risk-reward profiles. The wave c of what I’m calling wave (iv) looks to have completed five waves down for a complete structure. The support zone as previously identified is between 12,500 – 11,700 which holds a wave 2 low a number of fibonacci confluences and strong price support. The 50% Fib level is at 12,124 and …

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Dow – Holding Against Breakpoint (just)

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The Dow looks very tired and heavy, and it keeps acting that way also. There’s a slight chance the low will hold and we head up into the wave 5 target, but price has to turn up strongly Thursday or Friday.  The ALT count (yellow) is working it’s way to the front of the line, which would indicate that we’re working lower via the yellow abc or red abc possibilities into a 4 white or red. Both scenarios would allow …

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